Who is really fighting whom in this world?
At the very top of the conflict, it is the United States versus China.
The U.S. side is made up of democratic nations: Japan, South Korea, Canada, and the members of the G7 and NATO.
On the other side, China’s group is the BRICS nations—Brazil, Russia, India, and South Africa—along with socialist or Gulf states like Iran, Venezuela, and Cuba.
The essence of this struggle is the U.S. Dollar’s power versus the Chinese Yuan.
If the United States takes control of Venezuelan oil and does the same with Iranian oil, China will receive a huge shock.
The value of the Yuan is backed by crude oil. Without access to Venezuelan and Iranian oil, the Yuan will sharply lose its share in the world market, leading to a comeback of the U.S. Dollar.
Furthermore, because China has relied heavily on oil from Iran and Venezuela, a stop in those imports would lead to a total energy shortage. While Japan has about 270 days of oil reserves, China is said to have only about 50 days. Since China has a massive landmass and population, they would likely be the most troubled country in the world.
While the world’s lead seemed to be shifting from the U.S. to China, President Trump has completely stopped that. A long war hurts China most of all. This may cause the global economy to shrink a lot, but the United States will not be troubled at all. As President Trump says, the U.S. does not depend on the Strait of Hormuz.
Other Asian nations like South Korea, Vietnam, Thailand, and the Philippines have small reserves and would likely collapse first. Japan will be the one these neighbors turn to for help—but what will the Japanese government do?
Japan has nuclear power plants that are not running and plenty of coal. We can even export them. Also, the machines used in Arab and Gulf countries to turn seawater into fresh water are made in Japan.
[Image of a seawater desalination plant]
Those wealthy people in the desert may have a lot of oil, but they cannot live without water.
For us Japanese, let’s install “Ashiya Katakamuna” water purifiers on our taps!
Since water flows all around the world, we could even carry Japan’s famous mineral water by tankers and sell it to wealthy Arabs at high prices.
Make America Great Again.
Some Trump supporters have started booing because he hasn’t used the “MAGA” slogan lately, and there are anti-war protests in the U.S. However, the American public does not understand the big goal of this war.
Cuba may be next. People will probably complain, asking if Trump has gone crazy or if he just wants more war. What they don’t see is that he is breaking down socialist and “bad” countries one by one to put pressure on China. He is doing this to protect the value of the Dollar and save an America that is almost broke. He is carrying out this plan quietly so that no one notices.
Xi Jinping is likely the only one who understands this, which is why he is staying quiet, knowing there is nothing he can do.
Depending on how Japan plays its cards, the longer this war lasts, the more Japan might even enjoy a business boom from the Iran war.
The keywords are Coal, Nuclear Power, and Water.
In the future, they will be Nuclear Fusion, Transmutation, and Free Energy.
Because of China’s decline, the chance of a crisis in Taiwan has become much lower. We have much to thank President Trump and Prime Minister Takaichi for.
However, it is fine that no one understands the true nature of these things. It might even be better if this blog is not read by many people.
Rather than whether war is good or bad, the reality is that if you must fight a war, you have to win. And you should be on the side that wins.
Finally, a tip: supermarkets and drugstores don’t keep much stock of toilet paper because it takes up space and doesn’t make much profit, so it runs out quickly.
It’s better not to stock up too much.
In Japan, instead of just saving, we should spend more to keep the economy moving.
*This article was originally written in Japanese on April 10, 2026.